Asked by Tesha Cherry on May 17, 2024

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The technique for incorporating Risk into capital budgeting that involves the use of numbers drawn randomly from probability distributions is called a:

A) probability simulation.
B) scenario analysis.
C) sensitivity analysis.
D) Monte Carlo simulation.

Monte Carlo Simulation

A statistical technique that uses random sampling and variability to calculate results for complex problems or models.

Probability Distributions

Mathematical representations that outline every potential value and their probabilities for a random variable across a specified interval.

Risk

The potential that an investment's actual return will differ from the expected return, encompassing the possibility of losing some or all of the original investment.

  • Identify various methods for incorporating risk into capital budgeting, including Monte Carlo simulation.
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TK
Tushar KhatriMay 24, 2024
Final Answer :
D
Explanation :
The technique of incorporating risk into capital budgeting through the use of numbers drawn randomly from probability distributions is known as Monte Carlo simulation. Therefore, option D is the correct answer. Option A, probability simulation, is a broad term that can refer to various techniques used to model uncertain events. Option B, scenario analysis, is a technique that involves analyzing the potential outcomes of specific scenarios that may occur in the future. Option C, sensitivity analysis, involves examining how changes in certain inputs or assumptions affect the output of a financial model. While sensitivity analysis is related to assessing risk, it is not the same as Monte Carlo simulation, which specifically involves randomly generating inputs to see how a model behaves under different conditions.