​If the firm learns that the complicated technology can be made more stable with a few tweaks increasing the price to 15.5 million and increasing the probability of a launch to 50%.Given the new costs and probabilities of launch for the complicated software,which technology would the firm rather invest in now?

A) ​The simple voice-activated software
B) The complicated thought-activated software
C) Neither of the software
D) ​Need more information

With the original information, the expected value (EV) of the complicated technology was:
0.3 * $50mil - $10mil = $5mil
And the EV for the simple technology was:
0.8 * $10mil - $2mil = $6mil
Therefore, the simple technology was the better choice.
However, with the new information, the EV for the complicated technology changes to:
0.5 * $50mil - $15.5mil = $9.5mil
Which is now higher than the EV for the simple technology. Therefore, the firm would rather invest in the complicated thought-activated software with the revised probabilities and cost.