{Messenger Service Narrative} Calculate the probability that a package was delivered on time.

On-time Rates

A measure, typically in percentage, indicating the frequency with which an event (such as a flight or delivery) occurs at the scheduled time.

Scheduled Deliveries

The planning and implementation of delivering goods at predetermined times.

Implement Bayes' Rule to evaluate posterior probabilities taking into account designated conditions and former knowledge.
Address tangible scenarios that require an understanding of conditional probability, such as in medical diagnostics and service delivery.
Make use of Bayes' Law within real-life cases, specifically in the diagnosis of illnesses and the appraisal of service delivery efficiency.

Verified Answer

Royal AbrolJun 10, 2024

Final Answer :

P(O)= P(A and O)+ P(B and O)+ P(C and O)= .48 + .18 + .04 = 0.70

Learning Objectives

Implement Bayes' Rule to evaluate posterior probabilities taking into account designated conditions and former knowledge.
Address tangible scenarios that require an understanding of conditional probability, such as in medical diagnostics and service delivery.
Make use of Bayes' Law within real-life cases, specifically in the diagnosis of illnesses and the appraisal of service delivery efficiency.